macro liquidity
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⚠️ Educational purposes only · not financial advice · Live data: FRED API, CoinGecko
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Marktwert (Avendo)
CHF 2.03M
Schätzwert Apr 2026
Hypothek
CHF 900K
LTV 44.3% — sehr konservativ
Netto-Eigenkapital
CHF 1.13M
43.9% des Gesamtvermögens
Mietwert
CHF 6'200
/ Monat · 3.5% Bruttorendite
Preis / m²
CHF 5'646
360m² Wohnfläche
🏠 Objektdaten — Hauptstrasse 1, 5234 Villigen
| Typ | Einfamilienhaus |
| Baujahr | 1925 |
| Letzte Renovation | 2016 |
| Wohnfläche | 360 m² |
| Grundstück | 2'800 m² |
| Zimmer | 8.5 |
| Nasszellen | 4 |
| Innenparkplätze | 2 |
| Aussenparkplätze | 5 |
| Zonierung | Bauzone ✓ (keine BGBB-Beschränkungen) |
📊 Bewertungsübersicht
| Quelle | Marktwert | Datum | Methode |
| RealAdvisor | CHF 2'002K–2'213K Ø CHF 2'108K | 7. Apr 2026 | 70 Kriterien, 100K+ Transaktionen |
| Avendo | CHF 2'033K CHF 1'745K–2'551K | früher 2026 | Hedonisches Modell |
| Konsens | ~CHF 2.05–2.10M | Beide Modelle eng beieinander — solide Verhandlungsbasis |
🔨 Umbau & Renovationsdokumentation
| Jahr | Massnahme | Kosten | Typ | Dokumente |
| 2014 | Umbau (Details im Drive) | — | — | VORHANDEN |
| 2018 | Umbau (noch zu erfassen) | — | — | FEHLT |
| 2019 | Umbau (noch zu erfassen) | — | — | FEHLT |
| 2020 | Umbau (noch zu erfassen) | — | — | FEHLT |
Hinweis Steuer: Wertvermehrende Investitionen (Anbau, Grundrissänderung) reduzieren den steuerbaren Gewinn beim Verkauf. Werterhaltende Massnahmen (Malerarbeiten, Unterhalt) sind im Ausführungsjahr als Unterhaltskosten abzugsfähig. Rechnungen und Quittungen für 2018–2020 sammeln.
RealAdvisor 7.4.2026 · Avendo 2026 · Nicht Finanzberatung
Six of nine indicators remain in bullish territory. The tape has been ugly — tariff uncertainty, Iran escalation (Strait of Hormuz effectively closed), and sentiment collapse. But the underlying macro data has not broken. GMI (Apr 6): "The business cycle is still accelerating. Liquidity is still rising. Markets are now deeply oversold against a backdrop that hasn't broken."
Key March/April developments: (1) DXY rebounded to ~100 from the 97.5 Feb low on Iran safe-haven demand — countertrend rally per DeMark wave count, structural downtrend intact; (2) HY credit spreads widening to ~340bps — not yet at stress levels (500bps+) but watch closely; (3) Stablecoin supply hit $315B ATH — dry powder at historic peak, SSR below 10, structural coiled spring; (4) ISM breadth at cycle high (12 industries expanding) — strongest print since June 2022; (5) PBoC still expanding, three pillars of GMI Liquidity Flood thesis intact.
Key watch items for April/May: (1) DXY — break above 101.50 = structural trip wire, invalidates bull thesis; (2) HY spreads — break above 400bps = credit stress signal; (3) Iran ceasefire → safe-haven premium unwinds, DXY falls, liquidity expands; (4) April PMI data — first read on tariff impact on manufacturing; (5) Fed FOMC — rates on hold at 3.75%, no cut expected before Dec 2026.
Risk/reward: Geopolitical VaR shock is real but structural liquidity backdrop has not broken. Build conviction in quality names on weakness. DXY and HY spreads are the two trip wires to monitor daily.